For the second straight quarter of 2021, the rate of increase in the number of shootings declined, according to researchers at the John Jay Research and Evaluation Center. To account for seasonal variations in gun violence (which is usually highest in the spring and summer), they compared the rate of change in the same quarters from year to year. Gun violence remains above already elevated 2020 levels, with the second quarter of this year seeing 486 shooting incidents compared to 361 last year. But that 35 percent increase over 2020 is down from the 51 percent year-over-year increase seen in the first quarter of 2021, meaning that while shootings are still high overall, they may no longer be rising as intensely. “Shooting trends in New York City remain a serious concern, but these quarter-specific, one-year differences declined for three straight quarters,” researchers Jeffrey Butts and Richard Espinobarros write.